Successful punting isn't only about doing the form well. Striking the correct balance between being too cautious and too aggressive is essential. I've worked on disciplining myself over a lot of years and overall these days I'm happy I have the balance about right most of the time.Being able to focus totally on what your doing is also of great importance as outside irritations and distractions will put you off your game.
Today I woke up feeling dreadful and realized that I had fallen victim to the virus that has kept my teenage daughter off school this week. Feeling sicker and more irritable as the day wore on I had a bet mid afternoon that was just plain wrong.Easy to say perhaps afterwards when it's beaten but I'm sure on reflection that me 100% fit and focused would have passed on the bet. Just an example of how alert and focused you have to be to make sure you are ahead of the curve. Mistakes are usually severely punished and rightly so.
I've given myself a monumental bollocking and drop kicked the cat over the balcony to vent some frustration (only joking) and whilst I still feel shithouse my head is much clearer.
Chester May Meeting and Cup day.Good,Good to Firm in places is the morning reading but there are showers around and some rain is likely.
I don't usually have a lot of bets at this meeting but I usually find a handful that interest me over the three days. Just one early bet today and that's in the Cup
Chester
Race 3
Mubaraza returned gelded at Ripon last month and ran an excellent trial for this race finishing second to Angel Gabriel who re-opposes today on 3lb worse terms. The draw matters in this race despite the marathon distance and Mubaraza has berth 5 and Angel Gabrial has 11.It's a tight and open race as it usually is but at 6.0 I think Mubaraza is a point of overs-I have him at 5.0.If the rains come it won't bother him as he's effective on both wet and dry.
Advised Bet: Mubaraza 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 6.0 on offer now
Anything else today and updates sent via Twitter during racing providing I'm holding up ok
Wednesday, 7 May 2014
Tuesday, 6 May 2014
Sandown & Warwick Farm Today
Sandown posts a Dead 5 and there seems no rain around looking at the radar so it may upgrade-monitor.Warwick Farm is a Dead 5 and there are some very small rain cells on the radar and a possibility of more later so monitor there as well.
I haven't backed anything early yet but I am interested in two or three but all have a negative or two attached so I'm waiting to see how these tracks race early before committing.
Regular updates and any Bets/Lays sent via Twitter during the afternoon.
There will be another blog update later covering the UK racing where the three day Chester Cup meeting gets underway.
I haven't backed anything early yet but I am interested in two or three but all have a negative or two attached so I'm waiting to see how these tracks race early before committing.
Regular updates and any Bets/Lays sent via Twitter during the afternoon.
There will be another blog update later covering the UK racing where the three day Chester Cup meeting gets underway.
Monday, 5 May 2014
Weekly Round Up
Happy to report a profitable week.Here are the figures:-
Australia
All bets this week sent via Twitter. Bets in 15 races- 4 winners
Stakes 19.45 units
Profit 6.03 units
UK & International
Bets in the blog 2 races-No winners
Stakes 1.70
Loss 1.70 units
Bets sent via Twitter.Bets in 2 races-1 winner
Stakes 1.95
Profit 4.35 units
Overall Profit for the week 8.68 units
Overall Profit for the year 33.06 units
Miss France's victory in the 1000 Guineas on Sunday was the first winner of the UK season for me.There haven't been many bets yet but the previous 4 hadn't managed a place so a winner was very welcome.
I'll be around today for the Mornington meeting covered via twitter and the blog will be back tomorrow with a look at Wednesday's Melbourne and Sydney racing and later a look at day one of Chester's Cup meeting
Australia
All bets this week sent via Twitter. Bets in 15 races- 4 winners
Stakes 19.45 units
Profit 6.03 units
UK & International
Bets in the blog 2 races-No winners
Stakes 1.70
Loss 1.70 units
Bets sent via Twitter.Bets in 2 races-1 winner
Stakes 1.95
Profit 4.35 units
Overall Profit for the week 8.68 units
Overall Profit for the year 33.06 units
Miss France's victory in the 1000 Guineas on Sunday was the first winner of the UK season for me.There haven't been many bets yet but the previous 4 hadn't managed a place so a winner was very welcome.
I'll be around today for the Mornington meeting covered via twitter and the blog will be back tomorrow with a look at Wednesday's Melbourne and Sydney racing and later a look at day one of Chester's Cup meeting
Sunday, 4 May 2014
Newmarket Guineas Meeting-Day Two
1000 Guineas day and the going is Good to Firm,Good in places. It was genuine Good ground yesterday but it's forecast dry today and expect it to race faster than yesterday.
Salisbury is Soft,Good to Soft in places and drying out and Hamilton is Good to Soft,Soft in places and more rain is forecast.
The 1000 Guineas looks quite open and it's 6.0 plus the field currently on Betfair.I may back the french filly Miss France but am not committed at this stage.
Decent card as you would expect although it falls way a bit later in the day. The supporting cards at Salisbury and Hamilton are interesting enough particularly Hamilton.
Just the one early bet today:
Newmarket
Race 1
Cafe Society returns having been gelded.He was a model of consistency last year but was a very unlucky horse on more than one occasion.Potentially he could turn out to be the best of these but he's in here today well down the bottom half of the handicap.He's a get back run on type so hopefully Salutations who front runs will put on a decent pace upfront. 6.0 with bookies and a tad better currently on Betfair.
Advised Bet: Cafe Society 1 unit at 5.20 or better-take the 6.4 on Betfair now for 50% of the stake and monitor with the balance
Further Bets/Lays and Updates via twitter during the racing
Salisbury is Soft,Good to Soft in places and drying out and Hamilton is Good to Soft,Soft in places and more rain is forecast.
The 1000 Guineas looks quite open and it's 6.0 plus the field currently on Betfair.I may back the french filly Miss France but am not committed at this stage.
Decent card as you would expect although it falls way a bit later in the day. The supporting cards at Salisbury and Hamilton are interesting enough particularly Hamilton.
Just the one early bet today:
Newmarket
Race 1
Cafe Society returns having been gelded.He was a model of consistency last year but was a very unlucky horse on more than one occasion.Potentially he could turn out to be the best of these but he's in here today well down the bottom half of the handicap.He's a get back run on type so hopefully Salutations who front runs will put on a decent pace upfront. 6.0 with bookies and a tad better currently on Betfair.
Advised Bet: Cafe Society 1 unit at 5.20 or better-take the 6.4 on Betfair now for 50% of the stake and monitor with the balance
Further Bets/Lays and Updates via twitter during the racing
Saturday, 3 May 2014
Newmarket Guineas Meeting-Day One
2000 Guineas day and the ground at Newmarket is Good to Firm,Good in places.It's forecast dry and bright all day so expect fast ground.Goodwood today is Good to Soft (drying out all the time) and Thirsk is Good,Good to Firm in places (dry conditions so may be Good to Firm all over by racetime).
I'm in a strong position in the Guineas having traded Kingman in after backing him after he ran away with the Greenham and have a decent collect if he wins and a modest but OK profit if he's turned over. I thought natural attrition would see him a fair bit shorter than current quotes but around 2.25 looks about right now..He's clearly the most likely but I'm not quite as confident as I was earlier.
I've found the spluttering start to the turf flat season most frustrating and I'm relieved that things are now most definitely up and running.
I'm not really into backing at short quotes this early in the season so I'm basically looking for realistic winning hopes at figures that I'm comfortable staking to. Only one definite bet today and it falls outside my usual parameters and is based on "gut feeling"rather than figures.
Newmarket
Race 3
There's a very unexposed quality stayer here. He has to improve around a stone on figures to win this and he might want a bit further now.There's pace a plenty here so hopefully he'll get a chance to show he's much better than the figures suggest.
Advised Bet: Brass Ring 0.70 units at 7.50 or better-monitor on Betfair
Any further Bets/Lays and updates sent via twitter
I'm in a strong position in the Guineas having traded Kingman in after backing him after he ran away with the Greenham and have a decent collect if he wins and a modest but OK profit if he's turned over. I thought natural attrition would see him a fair bit shorter than current quotes but around 2.25 looks about right now..He's clearly the most likely but I'm not quite as confident as I was earlier.
I've found the spluttering start to the turf flat season most frustrating and I'm relieved that things are now most definitely up and running.
I'm not really into backing at short quotes this early in the season so I'm basically looking for realistic winning hopes at figures that I'm comfortable staking to. Only one definite bet today and it falls outside my usual parameters and is based on "gut feeling"rather than figures.
Newmarket
Race 3
There's a very unexposed quality stayer here. He has to improve around a stone on figures to win this and he might want a bit further now.There's pace a plenty here so hopefully he'll get a chance to show he's much better than the figures suggest.
Advised Bet: Brass Ring 0.70 units at 7.50 or better-monitor on Betfair
Any further Bets/Lays and updates sent via twitter
Friday, 2 May 2014
Caulfield & Hawksbury Today
Caulfield is a Dead 5 with rain due there during the afternoon.The rail is out 12m and if rain comes in any quantity then expect them to be scouting wider and wider as the day goes on.Extreme caution advised there until a definite pattern is established.
Hawksbury has it's big day and a good meeting it is too.Dead 4 and bits of rain around so monitor.
Peter Snowdens last day as trainer for Darley and the Darley horses are usually very much to the fore at this meeting so give them maximum respect today.
No early bets due to weather uncertainty but there are a few of interest today particularly in races 1,3,4 and 8 at Hawkesbury and races 3 and 8 at Caulfield.
Blackbookers engaged today are :-
Morphettville
R 2 Innocent Hero
R 6 The Quarterback
R 8 Bring Something
Caulfield
R 2 Tooleybuck Kid
R 3 River Delta
Jessy Belle
R 8 Synthetic
Khutulun
Hawksbury
R 3 Harmonic
R 5 Chatam House
Bets/Lays and updates via Twitter
Hawksbury has it's big day and a good meeting it is too.Dead 4 and bits of rain around so monitor.
Peter Snowdens last day as trainer for Darley and the Darley horses are usually very much to the fore at this meeting so give them maximum respect today.
No early bets due to weather uncertainty but there are a few of interest today particularly in races 1,3,4 and 8 at Hawkesbury and races 3 and 8 at Caulfield.
Blackbookers engaged today are :-
Morphettville
R 2 Innocent Hero
R 6 The Quarterback
R 8 Bring Something
Caulfield
R 2 Tooleybuck Kid
R 3 River Delta
Jessy Belle
R 8 Synthetic
Khutulun
Hawksbury
R 3 Harmonic
R 5 Chatam House
Bets/Lays and updates via Twitter
Thursday, 1 May 2014
April Round Up
More bets last month and a very modest profit overall. Here's the breakdown :-
Australia
Bets in the blog 1 bet-1 winner
Stakes 0.85
Profit 5.53 units
Bets sent via twitter Bets in 32 races- 6 winners
Stakes 35.40
Loss 0.74 units
Australia Total for April Profit 4.79 units
UK
Bets in the blog-1 bet- no wins
Stake 1.35
Loss 1.35 units
UK loss for April 1.35 units
Overall total for April 3.44 units Profit
A couple of winners today via twitter has the new month off to a positive start and there is plenty of really excellent racing coming up in the UK this month.Off season racing in Victoria and Sydney but there will still be opportunities and the Brisbane carnival gets going properly from this weekend.
Very quiet so far in the UK but that will change very soon
Australia
Bets in the blog 1 bet-1 winner
Stakes 0.85
Profit 5.53 units
Bets sent via twitter Bets in 32 races- 6 winners
Stakes 35.40
Loss 0.74 units
Australia Total for April Profit 4.79 units
UK
Bets in the blog-1 bet- no wins
Stake 1.35
Loss 1.35 units
UK loss for April 1.35 units
Overall total for April 3.44 units Profit
A couple of winners today via twitter has the new month off to a positive start and there is plenty of really excellent racing coming up in the UK this month.Off season racing in Victoria and Sydney but there will still be opportunities and the Brisbane carnival gets going properly from this weekend.
Very quiet so far in the UK but that will change very soon
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